Trump Is Right About Increasing Crime Rates, Says Lott

Trump in Pennsylvania talking to NRA members.
(Photo: NRA-ILA)

Source: Crime Prevention Research Center

When USA Today had two articles claiming that Trump was wrong in claiming that crime was increasing, Dr. John Lott submitted the following letter to the editor, but the newspaper didn’t run the letter.

Dear Letters Editor:

USA Today erroneously dismisses former President Trump’s claim violent crime is rising (“FBI data shows America is seeing a ‘considerable’ drop in crime. Trump says the opposite,” April 30 and “Will Trump back abortion bans?” April 30). Reported crime, as counted by the FBI, has fallen since 2020, but total crime (reported and unreported) has soared according to the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). Between 2021 and 2022 (the last year with data available), the NCVS showed a 42% increase. The FBI data showed a 2% drop.

Since 2020, these two measures have gone in opposite directions because law enforcement has collapsed. In cities with over a million people, arrest rates for violent crime averaged 44% during the five years before COVID, but plummeted to just 20% in 2022. That’s a drop of more than 50%, and it means that crime is going unpunished.

As arrest rates plunged, crime soared, and some people realized police wouldn’t catch the criminals, so they stopped reporting the crimes.

USA Today correctly points out the murder rate fell by 13% in 2023, according to FBI numbers. However, the rate was still 7% above what it was in 2019.

Sincerely,

John R. Lott, Jr.

Lott served as senior adviser for research and statistics in the Office of Justice Programs and the Office of Legal Policy at the Justice Department. He is president of the Crime Prevention Research Center.

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  • JO May 25, 2024, 2:03 pm

    HILARY WON BY 3 MILLION POPULAR VOTES.
    ONLY REASON TRUMPTARD MADE PREZ WAS “ELECTORAL” VOTES.
    TRUMPTARD LOST TO BIDEN BY 7 MILLION VOTES.
    TRUMPTARD WILL LOOSE AGAIN BY AN EVEN LARGER MAJORITY.
    GOOD FOR OUR SECOND AMENDMENT RIGHTS BECAUSE A TRUMPTARD DIK TATORSHIP WILL DECLARE FIRE 🔥 ARMS ILLEGAL ON DAY ONE 😳👀🙄😱

    • Hondo May 26, 2024, 11:59 am

      You really are a fucking idiot, you sound like a MAP.

  • JO May 25, 2024, 10:03 am

    THINK YOUR CONFUSING TRUMPTARDS SMELL WHEN YOU WERE SITING RIGHT BEHIND TRUMPTARD IN HIS FELONIOUS CRIMINAL TRIAL 😝 😆 😂

    • Hondo May 25, 2024, 1:49 pm

      Your TDS has made you one dumb motherF’r, go away clown.

    • paul I'll call you what I want/1st Amendment May 25, 2024, 3:26 pm

      you better lighten up before your ovaries explode there

      • Hondo May 25, 2024, 8:26 pm

        lol

  • Dur Poiguy May 24, 2024, 2:46 pm

    Of course the mainstream propaganda outlets say statistics show crime dropping. The FBI reported numbers show that. But the truth is the corrupt DOJ/FBI will do anything to shore up the corrupt Bidet administration and hide their own corruption. Purjory before Congress, corrupt itself to a great extent on the Democraps side, ignoring crimes in their perview, staging crimes to further thebBidet agenda like Jan 6th, the fake kidnapping attempt on the Governor and the fake bombs planted outside campaign headquarters are all examples of our”premier” law enforcement agency. We would not characterize President Donald Trump of being “Far Right” but more like “Right So Far”.

  • Rouge1 May 24, 2024, 7:52 am

    The reason is because pigs do what the guy who signs their pay check tells them to do. Ol Bumpstock wants to indemnify these mercenaries.

  • JO May 24, 2024, 7:50 am

    FORKED TONGUE 🐍
    ORANGE SATAN 👹
    TRAITOR TRASH TURD 💩
    FAILED DIK TATER
    WANNABE HITLER
    RACIST RAPIST MURDERER
    BAFOOOON L
    LOOOOOOZZZZZZEEEERRRR !!!!

    • Brian D Bridges May 24, 2024, 12:02 pm

      Absolutely correct, Biden is doing those things! Everything they say Trump will do next term, Biden is doing at the moment! Wake up PEOPLE

    • John May 24, 2024, 12:52 pm

      Are you the same Jo who posts crotch photos on Tik Tok?
      I saw one of them and lost my lunch.
      It looks like road kill in the Summertime
      But has to smell 100 times worse!

    • paul I'll call you what I want/1st Amendment May 24, 2024, 1:33 pm

      you’re right biden does suck!

      • JO May 24, 2024, 6:32 pm

        IF TRUMPTARD MANAGES TO GET PUTITIN TO HELP HIM “WIN” THE ELECTORATE AGAIN, ON DAY ONE OF HIS DIK TATORSHIP HE WIL COME AFTER OUR FIRE 🔥 ARMS AS MOST DIK TATERS DO

    • Hondo May 24, 2024, 4:26 pm

      Are you a mentally deficient bed wetting libtard? Just kidding, we all know the answer to that.lol

  • Kane May 23, 2024, 10:13 am

    The fake POTUS (genuine POS) attends commencement addresses to spread lies and hate to keep Demsheviks in power. At address at Howard University the fake POTUS claimed that White people are “most dangerous terrorist threat to our homeland.” No, actually the elites of the CIA would have to be considered the “most dangerous terrorist threat to our homeland.” Its the hierarchy of the CIA that is responsible for our cities to become a drug dealing, muderous criminal hell holes that has been studying for generations how to destroy the populace of the world including the USA.

    The fake POTUS should place himself under arrest, sign a detailed confession, testify against his fellow criminals, lose his ill gotten gains through RICO laws and await his conviction on treason.

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