Why Ammo, Gun Shortage May Continue for Foreseeable Future

(Photo: NSSF)

Dedicated GunsAmerica readers were, in my estimation, fairly well prepared when the sh*t to hit the fan this past Spring.  Few, if any, of us thought that it would come in the form of a global pandemic but we knew deep down that something was going to rock the boat eventually because good times don’t last forever and chaos is just as common, if not more, than stability throughout human history.  

Millions of other Americans did not share our cynical worldview and were supremely confident that come what may, Uncle Sugar would always have their backs and, therefore, there was no need to stockpile food, secure means to obtain potable water, procure additional sources of power, buy guns and ammunition for personal protection, among various other preps that we’ve made over the years.  

COVID-19, the George Floyd riots and the subsequent calls to “Defund the Police” shattered the faith many pollyannas had in the Nanny State.  Because, as it turns out when the chips are down Big Brother is not someone you can rely on for ANYTHING.  This is especially true as it relates to your personal safety.  

In fact, during times of crisis, he may even become a threat.  Recall the forced closure of gun stores during the early outbreak of the novel coronavirus because they were “non-essential” businesses by government decree (which coincided with the release of hardened inmates from prison along with a coordinated reduction in policing to maximize officer safety).  Directly infringing on the people’s right to keep and bear arms doesn’t make them safer, obviously.  It makes them soft targets for the criminal element that thrives under adverse conditions.

Again, we know all this.  But many others woke up to this reality for the first time. Consequently, when they were allowed to, they bought guns by the millions.  To put some numbers to it, there were an estimated 2.5 million first-time gun buyers over the span of about three months, March to May 2020, according to the National Shooting Sports Foundation, the firearms industry trade association.  

Now we find ourselves in the midst of another great gun boom, not unlike the one we witnessed during the Obama administration.  The question is will the gun and ammo shortages we see today continue on for the foreseeable future?  

Forbes did some of the legwork on this question and found that unlike during those Obama years, the gun industry is not going to jump whole hog into expanding facilities and production capacities to meet the current demand because collectively it doesn’t want to get burned again when things return back to, for lack of a better word, “normal.”

SEE ALSO: Election Fundraiser Raises Eyebrows for Hypocrisy

“Firearm manufacturers are making prudent decisions to keep up with extraordinary demand during these past few months,” Mark Oliva, director of public affairs for NSSF, told Forbes. “Manufacturers are producing firearms and ammunition as quickly as they can to meet customer demand.” But he added that gunmakers must meet the spike in demand, which has outstripped production, “in a way that is going to ensure sustained participation in tomorrow’s market.”

Up until COVID, one could argue that the firearms and ammo industry was experiencing a “Trump slump.”  With a pro-gun president at the helm and no risk of confiscation (minus that whole bump stock fiasco) or the passage of laws that restrict 2A rights, demand had waned and inventory was plentiful across the board.  It became harder and harder for gun companies that had reinvested much of the Obama windfall into bigger facilities, new machinery, a larger workforce to make ends meet.  The lesson, as Oliva explained, is for gunmakers to proceed into 2021 and beyond with caution. 

“Like any other manufacturing base, firearm and ammunition makers forecast their best analysis for what the demand will be for their products in the coming year,” said Oliva. “That includes placing orders for raw materials, including bar stock to make barrels, component materials to make ammunition and predicting labor, warehousing and shipping costs, distribution channels and retail demand.”

“Whipsaw reactions, to meet demand spike, come with risk,” he added.

As stated at the outset, longtime readers of GunsAmerica were likely prepared.  You had enough on hand to keep you and your family safe.  You probably bought some extra ammo or maybe even a new gun or two in the intervening months just to be doubly sure but I’m willing to bet you had most of what you needed.

Newbies, on the other hand, between paying full freight, waiting in long lines, dealing with closures and limited access to retail locations as well as shortages on desired products, had to learn the hard way.  But lucky for them, it wasn’t too, too late.  We didn’t go full-blown Mad Max.  

Looking ahead, who knows what the future holds. 

Surely, if Biden and Harris get elected in November and the Dems take control of the Senate while retaining the House, one can expect a full-on assault on gun ownership in this county the likes of which we’ve never seen and that will cause demand to skyrocket.  For sure.

However, if Trump wins a second term, there may be an ease in demand if we solve the COVID crisis, get the millions of people who are out of work back to work, quell media-fueled racial tensions, eliminate wanton rioting, and keep the county from coming apart at the seams.  All big IFs.

So, high demand or low demand, if you have what you need, great! And, if you don’t yet? Well, the best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago.  The second best time is now!

***Buy and Sell on GunsAmerica! All Local Sales are FREE!***  

About the author: S.H. Blannelberry is the News Editor of GunsAmerica.

{ 53 comments… add one }
  • David March 16, 2021, 4:37 pm

    1 There is old List of Long guns & Handgun owners is too. The Old List was (72,000,000 Total ! Plus There were 5,000,000 New Gun Owners when Trump was, Elected in 01/20/2016 A.D. For nest Four Years too. When Biden was Elected 01/20/2020 A,D. There were about 2.5 Million more Gun Owners added too. There Total of 79,500.000 Gun Owners total too. They are Still Growing per month too.

  • David March 15, 2021, 7:45 pm

    1. The State of Texas has about 6000 F.F.L.s Regular Gun DealersClass-1 (01 Class-2 Is (02) )or 2/3 & 1/3 (02) Gun Dealers is pawn Shop too. They Need to cut off the Number of F.F.L.s is 5400 F.F.L.s Gun Dealers too! The Maximum Cap limit should BE 600! F.F.L.s is all the Counties too. The U.S.A Maximum Cap Limit will 30,000 F.F.L.s on Federal Level too! This Should Be on the Crime Bill. too. The Class-1 Is(01)(02) Will be limited Semi Auto Clips up to 7 or 8 rounds to maximum of 10 Rounds too! Semi-Auto Postal s to for the Law abide U.S.A Citizens to in 50 States too. The B.A T.F E.A License Agency need to cut off 5400 Gun Dealers F.F.L.s Licenses renewals Applications off too. The A.T.F need to do this Job Now!! Do agree ? Sir Or Mam? The Public will Approved of the Plan to Red-used Gun Dealers (01) Pawn Shops & Gun Dealers too! Some need to be cut off too. By 2/3 too!!

  • David March 15, 2021, 7:08 pm

    1 There is to many Regular Gun Dealers Store Fronts too. (01)(02). There is over 52,000 total too. We need to cut down the F.F.L.s Licenses (01)(02) Renewals Applications off too.Solution is :This in voles all 50 U.S.States too! To many eggs in one nest Location too. We need to cut them down to 30,000 F.F.L.s too. The B. A.T.F. Agency To focus on the number of F.F.L.s not making above avenge level too. is about (22,000) F.F.L.s need to limited too. this involves States with population of is high number people living in those States too. I agree! Some Gun Dealers not Following Federal Rules Guide Lines : an State Guide Lines too. I agree! Do you Agree? Sir Or Mam? I think Public will Approved this solution too. to Stop Gun Crime An to many Gun Stores too! Need to cut down an F.F.L.s Licensees Renewals are Cut off. too. in high Crime Cities Neighborhoods. For Example Illinois State , is Chicago Cities too. An other big Cities of high Crime Of Gun Thief by Gun Thief’s by Criminals with arrest records too. on Drugs ! There Other States have to many Gun Dealers Retailers too. The State of Texas Has over 5000 Gun Dealers Regulates (01) An 1000 (02) Pawn Shop Junk & Gun Shop Dealers is a lot too. There 6000 Gun Dealers Retailers too. The Federal Level is U.S.A. max Cap limit is 30,000 F.F.L.s (01)(02) too. The N.F.A . Gun Dealers Should be no more then 3 is (09) N.F./S Retailers is maximum Cap limit too ! Do you Agree? Sir ? Or Mam? The Solution Should in the State Of Texas no more then (600) F.F.L.s Licenses Retailers Store Fronts too. This should be maximum cap limit; for State of Texas too. I agree! There will be Fewer Stolen Guns robbed from Gun Stores too. This In Valves all 50 States too. This Should in the next Crime Bill too. Very soon it will be Federal Law too! An 50 State Laws must abide by this law too. I agree! Do you agree? Sir? Or Mam? The Public should vote on this Bill too!!

  • Darrin moore February 9, 2021, 1:29 pm

    Every one is talking about hoarding , new shooters, new reloaders I can’t seem to find any one with powder , primers very little ammo ,everyone uses notify me when item is in stock the problem is locally nothing . Checking on lone 3 Tim’s a day nothing other than scumbroker . How can it ever return to normal when the big stores are charging a dollar a freakin round . Midway and most on line stores every local gun shop . I have ammo but I don’t see how I or any one can continue to shoot . Me and my wife shoot 800 rounds a month at the range and I reload but I don’t see these guys coming down in price once theve been getting a dollar or more a round

  • ryan kephart November 30, 2020, 8:19 am

    It’s real simple folks – quit buying ammo for a while. this is not the first time this has happened and won’t be the last but buying during low supply just means you’re paying more. $1000 for 1000 rounds of 5.56 NATO when it was selling for less than $300 in February? Just stop buying and encourage everyone you know to quit also. It’ll give the suppliers a chance to catch up and you won’t have a pile of ammo you paid 3 times too much for.

  • Gary November 21, 2020, 5:34 pm

    I’m in Oregon and I’m not sure what states you are speaking about around me. Oregon has little to none. And you just told me California has none and I bet Kate Browns boy toy in Washington state has none. So please tell me where to buy some. Thanks. Gary

  • CJ November 19, 2020, 7:19 am

    I think a lot of it is starting to look artificial. One of Biden’s plans, IF inaugurated, would ban online sales of ammo. If they empty out the brick and mortar supplies and ban online sales, we are SOL if replenishing our stash.

  • Medic1 October 20, 2020, 1:34 am

    Paid MSRP for two new pistols locally, but they HAD the weapons (and many more in stock). Not so much with any ammo. Yes, my son and I are going back into reloading. Not much choice here in Central MI. We put in our range time (way overpriced, but no options), and mind carefully supplies for EDC, our homes, and when, not if, TSHF@

  • Mack Knife October 16, 2020, 7:37 pm

    Don’t drink the koolaid. You can go into a gun shop in some states and buy as much ammo as you can carry yet in California you’re told there is a shortage. Nonsense, the ammo is the same. I’ve heard everything from primer to powder shortages as a reason. The. Why in a few states over can you buy ammo in 500 round quantities but in California barely find a couple boxes? Please people, think this through. There is no California only ammunition, it’s the same stuff sold everywhere else. Something doesn’t add up and when you hear someone saying they are a dealer and there is a shortage, ask them why in the next state is there no shortage?

    Are we to believe that a dealer in California can’t order ammo and get it but a dealer in Oregon, Nevada or Idaho can order and get it right away and have plenty on hand to sell?

    Somewhere and somehow distributors are either being told not to ship to California or everyone is lying about the reason for a ammo shortage in California but not in neighboring states.

  • George September 24, 2020, 8:45 pm

    I have noticed that shotgun ammunition is being sold in 5 cartridge packs. Instead of the 25 cartridge packs. This applies particularly to buckshot and Sabot cartridges. Couple this information to the intention to turn the U.S. Into a police state in November.

    I find it interesting that at my local gun store and range has 500 cases of 5.62 x 45mm with 500 rounds per case. But very little of anything else.

    So it seems that there is an effort by local militia to boost stocks of the preferred ammo.

    Is this wehere we admit it has begun.

  • Jon August 30, 2020, 3:20 pm

    If only 5% of your bullets did not work right, I will bet you would change brands.

  • Edward Allen August 26, 2020, 10:17 am

    Pretty sure that there were more than 2.5 million new gun owners. There have only been 3 months of the7 reported, so far, where there were fewer than 3 million NICS checks. As of the end of July, 22,819,271 checks were performed. Remember, this doesn’t include people who can purchase without the check due to CCW but does include persons doing a transfer to somebody else, background for ccw and purchase of multiple firearms.

    If only 10% are first time buyers, that would be a whopping 2.81 million. But, considering that the total NICS checks for 2019 was 28,369,750, that would be an indicator that it is more than 10%. In the first 7 months of 2020 they have already performed as many NICS checks as were performed by the end of Oct 2019.

    I don’t see is slowing down much.

    • Chris September 2, 2020, 7:53 am

      I am a firearm salesman in PA and I can tell you that since April I would say 6 of every 10 people I help are first time gun buyers.

  • Ed Allen August 26, 2020, 10:06 am

    I have to admit that I’m one of the guilty bastards that stockpiled ammo. And for good reason. I was living in Kommiefornia in 2016, when they passed Prop 63. You know, the law that said you can no longer own a standard AR15 style rifle and that you would no longer be allowed to purchase ammo over the internet.

    I knew, well in advance, that the price, and availability, of ammo would change drastically. In the months leading up to the ammo ban, I purchased cases of ammo from online distributors knowing full well that the prices would go up. Also knowing that I will go through between 500 and 1000 rounds a month.

    I know lots of people in California who are wishing that they could/would have done the same thing. Between the higher prices that were already being put in place and the shortages that were already starting to be experienced 2 years ago. I’m not the least sorry for what I did.

    I purchased 9mm name brand for 16 cents a round. .223 for 25 a round. Now, it is as much as $1.00 and $1.50 a round for the same cartridge with the lowest internet prices running 62 cents for either.

    Who would have believed that 9mm would cost the same as .225/5.55?

    Hard lesson for many. As the Boy Scouts would say, “Be Prepared”.

    • marcus aurelius tarkus August 31, 2020, 10:05 pm

      “I have to admit…”?

      NO, brother. Proudly proclaim! Ya snooze, ya lose!

  • steve August 25, 2020, 4:28 pm

    Wow, a balanced, thoughtful look at a problem. Unfortunately, pretty rare these days. Nice article.

  • KC August 25, 2020, 3:01 pm

    The ammo and firearm crunch are the fault of the DJT haters and those with TDS. They have everyone in the country that has one or more of the following: a brain, a family, a life, a business, morals, standards, sense of right or wrong, etc. – scared that this country is about to implode. Liberals and Socialists have shown the Silent Majority that it’s time to stand up, voice up, gun up if we are to preserve what is TRULY right in and for this country. Ironically, even some Democrats are buying guns and ammo as they realize they have screwed up – they are just to enslaved to their party to confess it.

    BLM and Antifa are no different than the KKK and Skinhead movements, and the longer the are allowed to control liberal cities like Portland, Seattle, and others – firearm and ammo sales will continue to soar. So if you haven’t got yours yet – you had better hurry. What is coming will make the 2012 shortage look like a walk in the park.

  • John August 23, 2020, 12:15 pm

    Ignorance is rampant in your comment. I do believe you are just trying to get people wound up

  • CrustyOldGeezer August 22, 2020, 6:10 pm

    note to ‘federal court justus’s:

    The FIRST TEN Amendment are ALL “INALIENABLE RIGHTS BESTOWED BY OUR CREATOR”

    Now, which of your retarded little dimwits wants to play the part of…

    “OUR CREATOR”?

    They CANNOT BE ‘amended out’ of existence’.

  • sfvshooter August 21, 2020, 7:55 pm

    “…quell media-fueled racial tensions, eliminate wanton rioting, and keep the county from coming apart at the seams.”

    So much white privilege/ignorance, I don’t even know where to start.

    Last time I checked, media aren’t killing unarmed black people.

    People are protesting because we have a flawed, unjust system that unfairly targets people of color.

    We have a “leader” who isn’t leading, but causing rifts for his own political benefit.

    It’s like a person who kills his parents and then asks the judge for mercy because he’s an orphan. Everything you listed as issues that need to be solved have been made worse by a president who doesn’t seem to think there’s anything wrong with the current system.

    Do you get it? Or do you also believe everything is fine and there’s no need for change?

    • JRB August 22, 2020, 9:46 pm

      Leading means less government control not more, unless you’re afraid of liberty. If you read the research, police interactions are 95% plus within legitimate boundaries. Yes there are bad police. They need to be replaced. There is no Disney perfect Utopia that you or your Marxist dreamers can create. History has proven this over and over.

      Speaking about a lack of perfection, I don’t see it in your BLM and Antifa Marxist allies who burn, pillage, assault people In wheel chairs, drag people out of cars and beat them, try to blind police with lasers and shoot Innocent people.

      Of course you don’t like research because you can’t tolerate facts that contradict your delusional brainwashed narrative.

    • Ej harbet August 29, 2020, 12:00 pm

      found the antifa guy

  • Winston August 21, 2020, 4:51 pm

    The term “global pandemic” is a flag that paragraphs of BS likely await the reader and the words “… Covid-19…” are a full stop and indicate it is time to move on to something based in reality. The BLM-Antifa riots are a heads up as to what awaits flyover country, because DNC-Soros Left is highly motivated and prepared to move into areas outside of the downtown commercial districts.

  • Michael J August 21, 2020, 3:43 pm

    In California there is no ammunition. Provisions in the illegal background check madness has prohibited interstate sales reducing any outside sources. Awoken citizens who now have decided that a firearm is now a necessary tool for personal safety have added to the demand. CA liberal anti-gun policies have been to disarm it’s citizenry for decades using any means possible. Only the Constitution has been able to slow but not stop the tyranny they impose. The last run on ammunition was an eye opener for many, like the toilet paper frenzy you are forced to hoard for such a time as this.

  • Gary Sackman August 21, 2020, 2:46 pm

    I live in the UP of Michigan. If you want to find gun owners, there is no shortage here. Deer season is vacation time for thousands of Michigan hunters. The only shortage is ammunition. Fearmongers in the news media, communists in government scalpers at supply companies, and, maybe the worst, hoarders who bought up more ammunition that they could shoot in 10 years. Much like the stupid hoarders that snagged all the toilet paper back in the spring. What happened to sharing? We are currently out of 9mm pistol ammo and .223. My local gun stores and hardware stores do not know when they will get more. I made calls to Natchez Supply, Midway USA, and Brownells. All with the same result, at least as far as 9mm and some rifle ammo (.223/.308). Go big or go home. The most obvious solution is to make your own. Yes, I know it is expensive. You don’t need an ammo factory. A single stage press and your time can produce enough to protect your family and the occasional hunt. All reloading companies have books that explain the basic instruction for reloading the most common loadings in each caliber. I guess Lee’s is the most affordable equipment. There is always a solution. It depends on how bad you want it.

    • Clark Kent August 21, 2020, 7:39 pm

      One man’s ‘hoarding’ is another man’s ‘stocking up’. Depends upon whose ox is being gored.

      • CrustyOldGeezer August 22, 2020, 6:20 pm

        Reminds me of a tail from Down Under.

        Some guy wanted to return and get a refund for 12,000 rolls of toilet paper in various size packs.

        The big box store manager laughed at him and called the media so they could report it.

  • Marcus Aurelius Tarkus August 21, 2020, 12:24 pm

    “However, if Trump wins a second term, there may be an ease in demand if we solve the COVID crisis, get the millions of people who are out of work back to work, quell media-fueled racial tensions, eliminate wanton rioting, and keep the county from coming apart at the seams. All big IFs.”

    Understatement of the year. To quote blogger Allan Stevo:

    “You are deceiving yourself if you don’t think this can get so much worse.”

  • MNF August 21, 2020, 11:56 am

    Had a old Yugoslav Mauser m48 With ammo I put up for sale for $300 at the county gun range. There were no takers for about 6 months. When this pandemic started I started getting calls Like crazy and one guy offered me $400. I had to show him how the gun loaded, how to sight it and lectured him about storing it from his kids. I told him to take the gun handling course the county offered and practice practice practice

  • Mark - IN. August 21, 2020, 11:29 am

    After one of the mass school shootings that occurred under our last president, the one very openly vocal anti-2nd Amendment president that sent guns down into Mexico with his then Attorney General in hopes that they would come back into America to be used in gun crimes that would turn law biding Americans into anti-gun zealots like himself, most ammo disappeared off of shelves. People were buying up all of the guns and ammo in anticipation of stricter gun laws against the law abiding. Every shop that I went into had empty ammo shelves except for 30.06. All of them had 30.06 up the ying-yang and cheap too. Having five 30.06 rifles I bought 30.06 ammo by the truck load. 150gr, 165gr, 180gr off of shelves in stores, 220gr online. I also purchased my third Smith .500 Magnum, a 4″ for concealed carry at a local dealer at the same time. When I bought it they told me that they didn’t have any ammo for it. I laughed and asked them if they would like to buy some. I wasn’t joking.

  • C August 21, 2020, 11:00 am

    Zager & Evans sang it best:
    In the year 2525, if man is still alive…….

  • DAVID MILLER August 21, 2020, 10:30 am

    same here she thought i was crazy 4 yrs. ago started with T.P. lots canned food had plenty ammo now she says lets get more and how smart i am

  • Elmer August 21, 2020, 10:21 am

    We can all pat ourselves on the back for having stockpiled, but what if, like me, you picked a new shotgun in February? Or had a long term project rifle come together in June? Neither is a common gauge/caliber, and I consider myself lucky to have snagged the ammo that I have. Just don’t forget that the regular demand from we regular consumers doesn’t disappear in a Panic. And that unsatisfied demand will translate into sales when the Panic starts to dissipate.

  • RSConsulting August 21, 2020, 9:49 am

    It’s probably smart that manufacturers DON’T expand or ramp up in these questionable times.

    I remember the election of ’12 – where the day before election day, ammo/etc. was plentiful (and this was just prior to Sandy Hook), and the day after Obozo was reelected, you couldn’t find a round of 5.56 anywhere.

    Then after Sandy Hook, everything went “bat guano”. $600 off the rack AT’s going for twice that.

    Everyone geared up for 2016 – under the assumption that Killery was going to get in (or at least, that’s what the polls/press were screaming at us). And everything was in short supply right before the election (and at premium prices), and then when DJT got elected (thank G-D) came the “Trump Slump”.

    We were no longer afraid of losing our 2A rights (something DJT still campaigns heavily on), and the panic buying dropped to zero. Prices & inventory returned to normal – or even heavily discounted to get rid of excess inventory that was stockpiled “on spec” for a Killery win.

    I seem to recall a one or two major distributors going under in early ’17 – because they “over-leveraged” themselves in anticipation of a panic due to a Killery win (again – than G-D it went the other way).

    Right now – politically – it’s ANYONE’S GUESS. The criminals are allowed to roam with impunity, getting cut loose before the ink on their fingerprint cards dry (figure of speech, printing is like 95% digital now). People are being prosecuted/persecuted for lawful self defense (St Louis, Mo as an example).

    I’ve been fielding calls from friends (both gun and non-gun type alike) for recommendations on purchases. I’m pimping SAI XDE’s in .45 for the guys (love mine), and S&W lightweight hammerless .38’s for the gals – though novices should likely stick with revolvers to avoid concerns around clearing potential malfunctions. Shotgun (shockwave with a laser) for home defense. People who never thought of having a gun, are buying.

    I usually do a few hundred rounds a month of range time. Not since this thing started. Have plenty in reserve – but not enough to blow through my usual allocation. I go to verify 100 yard zero’s on my long guns, 10-20 rounds and done.

    Lord only knows what the next few months holds for us. I surely don’t. G-D willing, DJT gets back in – things will go back to normal. At least where gun/ammo supply lines are concerned – I have NO IDEA what “normal” is going to look like for this country any more.

    • Clark Kent August 21, 2020, 1:52 pm

      No WORSE choice for a woman or novice than to purchase ANY revolver for self protection. Nice try; no cigar.

      • Lex Luthor August 21, 2020, 3:19 pm

        Really? And what are you basing that on? Having worked with a lot of novices (mostly women) over the years in teaching them the basics of shooting, I found most of them were better able to learn how to shoot a double-action well enough to be moderately competent with it than to pick up on the more complex manual of arms with autoloaders. Revolvers have their drawbacks, but the learning curve is not one of them,

        • Clark Kent August 21, 2020, 7:45 pm

          I also have taught many new shooters, male and female. The water in your area must produce those not smart enough to figure out how to operate a semi-auto pistol. It is not rocket science. If the U.S. military can teach troops (some of which have the IQ of a doorknob) to shoot pistols then it is not a great obstacle to overcome. The BIG drawback for revolvers is RECOIL. New shooters need all the help they can get and recoil is not one of them.

  • Tracer bullet August 21, 2020, 9:41 am

    What bothers me is the price gouging. Prices have doubled and some tripled. That thousand rds of 45acp at$259 Went to $359 over night and is now over $500. I bought one 20 rd box of Buffalo bore .357 sig and it was $1.61 a round. I’ve got a thing for hot loads but that was crazy. So I must say I’m disappointed with the manufacturers.

    • Clark Kent August 21, 2020, 1:53 pm

      Then be your own manufacturer and LEARN TO RELOAD!

    • Lex Luthor August 21, 2020, 3:29 pm

      Price gouging? How about basic economics? The cost of loading components has gone up, even for the manufacturers. Anytime you put a sudden , unforecasted demand into a supply chain, it drives very real added expense that passes through the entire supply chain. The operations that can draw on economy of scale have a clear advantage over the boutique manufacturers, but if you listen to the earnings calls of the major manufacturers, you’re going to find that their costs have gone up, too, and that they are concerned about being able to meet demand without adding excess capacity that will hurt them later.

    • nah August 21, 2020, 11:02 pm

      Sucks that it is all retail and secondary market for ammo forcing the prices up without a cost basis to do so. 88% of lead is used in lead-acid batteries, and 5 million tons is mined annually while 50% of total global usage is handled with recycled lead. Most glycerin is used in personal care, pharma, and food. Nitroglycerin demand is measured by angina treatment, not by smokeless powder production. You can see by the prices at major retailers that prices are basically holding when something is in stock, since producers are not burdening themselves with a bunch of capital spending on yet another spike. The raw materials are there, and operating expense isn’t being expanded greatly, so the price gouging is happening due to irrational actors in the retail space. Fundamentally it isn’t much more expensive to produce, ship, or store the product. Just a bunch of people want it, and they want a whole lot of it.

  • Richard Kosack August 21, 2020, 9:29 am

    If there are 2.5 million new gun owners, the industry could foresee at least close to that number of extra capacity needed for ammunition manufactured.

  • Sgt. Pop August 21, 2020, 9:04 am

    I do not the least feel sorry for almost anyone complaining about not being able to get the ammunition they need. I’m 75 now, and have since mid 1970’s kept a good basic load (my determination) for every firearm I use, reloading supplies for most also. Picking up the ammo you need, and storing it properly, over time isn’t that cost prohibitive, hell, drop a pack of smokes a week, or that 6 pack, just rearrange your priorities, it’s not rocket science. I rotated/added too, as I used rounds in annual training and in competition. Most “new” gun buyers have had the opportunity to buy long ago. What happened to BE PREPARED (like, ahead of time! I live on the Gulf Coast, weathered many hurricanes, so many of us stay “prepared” for most events. Having a couple 50 rd. boxes of 9mm in a drawer or someplace in the garage is not a good personal “basic” load in my humble opinion. Just my thoughts, yours may vary…. off my soap box now……

    • Lex Luthor August 21, 2020, 3:45 pm

      Exactly.

    • Kane August 21, 2020, 9:11 pm

      Yeah, I have stockpiled ammo over the years and hope to someday have a reloading operation going strong BUT, I still feel sorry for myself when I see all those empty shelves in the former land of plenty.

  • JBel August 21, 2020, 8:16 am

    Been investing in Ammo for years. AmmoSquared is about the best way right now to build up ammo stock. But again, best time to plant that tree was 20 yrs ago.

    • David Boerboom August 21, 2020, 8:44 am

      Oh I’ve never heard of ammo squared. I have heard of ammoseek

  • Mad Max August 21, 2020, 7:16 am

    Testing. This is Max, commenting from the future. Can anyone hear me?

  • Kb31416 August 21, 2020, 7:10 am

    It will be interesting to see if these 2.5 million new gun owners will end voting against their newly discovered or appreciated rights in the upcoming election. The choice is both obvious, stark and binary.

    • Lex Luthor August 21, 2020, 3:50 pm

      I hope they will, but that will happen only if they can see beyond their immediate circumstances to the faulty reasoning that led to the political choices that got us into this situation we’re now in. But it’s a rare person who has the inclination or maybe even the ability to critique his or her own thought process and come up with the appropriate corrective actions to take.

  • Tj August 21, 2020, 4:48 am

    Yeah my wife thought it was stupid of me to start buying thousands of rounds over the last three years until we went to the range and she shot a couple hundred and then said we need to conserve our ammo. she then understood why I have and continue to but thousands of rounds when I can find any deals at my local gun shop.

    TJ

  • RGP August 20, 2020, 5:13 pm

    This might not be the time to mention it… but Mad Max was set in the year 2021.

    • Lex Luthor August 21, 2020, 3:52 pm

      Several people I know are prone to comment that they can’t wait for 2020 to be over and done with, but not a one has offered any reason to think that 2021 will be any better. Let’s just hope these don’t turn out to be the good old days…

Leave a Comment

Send this to a friend